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HL
Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Jul 25, 2020 at 3pm UK
Sonera Stadium

HJK Helsinki
2 - 0
Ilves

Vayrynen (25'), Hasani (87')
Riski (34'), Reguero (69'), Carlos Murillo (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fofana (80')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and Ilves.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawIlves
49.3%26.77%23.93%
Both teams to score 45.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81%58.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17%57.83%
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92%40.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27%76.73%
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 49.29%
    Ilves 23.93%
    Draw 26.77%
HJK HelsinkiDrawIlves
1-0 @ 13.67%
2-0 @ 9.84%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 23.93%


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