Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Rovaniemen Palloseura win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.