Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.