Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for SJK had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.