Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for TPS had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a TPS win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.