Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.