SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 26.48% | 22.54% | 50.98% |
| Both teams to score 61.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% | 38.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% | 60.88% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.2% | 62.8% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% | 15.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.91% | 44.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 6.61% 1-0 @ 5.44% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 5.97% 0-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.91% Total : 50.98% |
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