SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 47.13% | 24.35% | 28.52% |
| Both teams to score 56.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% | 45.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% | 67.76% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% | 19.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.82% | 51.18% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% | 29.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.58% | 65.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7% 0-1 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.52% |
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