Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Al-Shorta had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Al-Shorta win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
