Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 0-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.