Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Sepahan had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Sepahan win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.