Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Sepahan win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.