Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Sepahan win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.