Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Persepolis had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Persepolis win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.