Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Al-Nassr win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.