Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Shorta win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Shorta win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Shorta would win this match.