Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.