Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BG Pathum United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a BG Pathum United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Kaya win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BG Pathum United would win this match.
