Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Kaya and BG Pathum United.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BG Pathum United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a BG Pathum United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Kaya win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BG Pathum United would win this match.
