SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nasaf win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nasaf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nasaf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nasaf | Draw | Al-Sadd |
46.87% ( 0) | 25.26% ( 0.02) | 27.87% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.27% ( -0.14) | 49.73% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.26% ( -0.12) | 71.74% ( 0.12) |
| Nasaf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( -0.05) | 21.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% ( -0.08) | 54.13% ( 0.08) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( -0.1) | 32.13% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% ( -0.11) | 68.61% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nasaf | Draw | Al-Sadd |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.87% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.87% |
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