Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nasaf win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nasaf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nasaf would win this match.
