Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Shahr Khodro had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Shahr Khodro win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai in this match.