Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.