Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.