SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Sirius |
| 53.37% | 23.05% | 23.57% |
| Both teams to score 56.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% | 43.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% | 66.13% |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% | 16.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.03% | 45.97% |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.08% | 68.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.3% Total : 53.37% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-1 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.52% Total : 23.57% |
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