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Sunday, April 28
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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
Jul 19, 2021 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
5 - 1
Sirius

Une-Larsson (22'), Finndell (26'), Eriksson (28'), Chilufya (39'), Banda (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Kouakou (72')
Ortmark (30'), Hellborg (34'), Sugita (37'), Roche (69'), Saeid (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 16.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawSirius
64.74%19.13%16.13%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36%36.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.21%58.79%
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34%10.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.47%34.53%
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2%35.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43%72.57%
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 64.74%
    Sirius 16.13%
    Draw 19.13%
Djurgardens IFDrawSirius
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 7.33%
3-0 @ 7.14%
4-1 @ 4.1%
4-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.84%
5-0 @ 1.79%
5-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 64.74%
1-1 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 5.05%
0-0 @ 3.82%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.13%
1-2 @ 4.51%
0-1 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 16.13%

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