Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkenbergs win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkenbergs win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.