Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Falkenbergs had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Falkenbergs win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.