SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| GAIS | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
47.66% ( -1.17) | 25.13% ( 0.44) | 27.2% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -1.37) | 49.61% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -1.24) | 71.63% ( 1.23) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -1.04) | 20.83% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -1.66) | 53.52% ( 1.65) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( -0.16) | 32.58% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( -0.18) | 69.11% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| GAIS | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.59% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.56% Total : 27.2% |
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