SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
48.91% ( 0.29) | 23.74% ( 0.07) | 27.35% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -0.57) | 43.46% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.56) | 65.85% ( 0.56) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -0.1) | 17.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.31% ( -0.18) | 48.69% ( 0.18) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.56) | 29.26% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.69) | 65.21% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.35% |
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