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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 9, 2023 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena
B

Hammarby
2 - 1
Brommapojkarna

Besara (15'), Erabi (90+4')
Karlsson (53'), Erabi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fritzson (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halmstad 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, June 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-2 Brommapojkarna
Saturday, June 3 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Hammarby 1-2 Brommapojkarna

Brommapojkarna have only drawn once this season, which pushed us away from that scoreline when choosing a prediction. It would certainly not be a surprise to see Hammarby win here due to their quality, but the away side's form is difficult to ignore, and we are backing them to secure another three points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Brommapojkarna win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawBrommapojkarna
66.26% (-0.363 -0.36) 19.17% (0.209 0.21) 14.57% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.25% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89% (-0.636 -0.64)40.11% (0.637 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-0.66 -0.66)62.47% (0.66099999999999 0.66)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (-0.276 -0.28)11.26% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)35.85% (0.607 0.61)
Brommapojkarna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (-0.185 -0.18)39.99% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (-0.171 -0.17)76.64% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 66.25%
    Brommapojkarna 14.57%
    Draw 19.17%
HammarbyDrawBrommapojkarna
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.177 0.18)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.27% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 66.25%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 14.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Halmstad 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, June 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 0-2 Varnamo
Monday, May 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Degerfors 2-2 Hammarby
Thursday, May 25 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 1-1 Hammarby
Sunday, May 21 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 4-3 Djurgarden
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 0-0 Mjallby AIF
Tuesday, May 9 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-2 Brommapojkarna
Saturday, June 3 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 1-2 Sirius
Saturday, May 27 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 2-1 Varbergs
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-3 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 0-0 Goteborg
Monday, May 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 0-1 Brommapojkarna
Thursday, May 4 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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