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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 5
Jul 2, 2020 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Hammarby
1 - 0
Varbergs

Ludwigson (33')
Khalili (30'), Sher (44'), Kacaniklic (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aliev (15'), Modig (45+2'), Ayer (71')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Hammarby and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 58.46%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
HammarbyDrawVarbergs BoIS
58.46%20.76%20.78%
Both teams to score 60.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.31%58.69%
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69%12.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.9%38.1%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15%30.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87%67.13%
Score Analysis
    Hammarby 58.46%
    Varbergs BoIS 20.78%
    Draw 20.76%
HammarbyDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 6.84%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 4.02%
4-1 @ 3.58%
4-0 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 2.11%
5-1 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 5.76%
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 20.78%


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