Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 58.46%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.