Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.