Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.