Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.