Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Orebro win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.
