SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Orebro win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orebro | Draw | Kalmar |
| 35.74% | 24.77% | 39.48% |
| Both teams to score 58.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% | 44.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% | 67.06% |
| Orebro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% | 24.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.02% | 58.98% |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% | 22.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.87% | 56.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orebro | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.75% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-1 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.48% |
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