Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Orebro win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.
