Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
