Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
