Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-0 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.