Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Helsingborg had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Helsingborg win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.