SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.87%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Barracas Central |
52.88% ( -0.92) | 28.12% ( 0.37) | 19% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 37.08% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.51) | 66.31% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.2% ( -0.35) | 84.8% ( 0.34) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( -0.66) | 25.69% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.39% ( -0.9) | 60.61% ( 0.9) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.9% ( 0.36) | 50.1% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.27% ( 0.25) | 84.73% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 17.49% 2-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 52.88% | 0-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.24) 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 19% |
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