SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 45.06%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Belgrano |
26.94% ( -0.51) | 27.99% ( 0.01) | 45.06% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 44.89% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.28) | 60.47% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.4% ( -0.21) | 80.6% ( 0.2) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.33% ( -0.58) | 38.67% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.59% ( -0.55) | 75.41% ( 0.55) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( 0.13) | 26.79% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 0.17) | 62.08% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.94% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 13.64% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.06% |
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