Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.68) 
