Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.63) 
-1.04) 
