SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartberg win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | Austria Klagenfurt |
37.83% ( 0.05) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 36.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.35% ( 0.03) | 46.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( 0.03) | 68.91% ( -0.03) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.04) | 24.26% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( 0.06) | 58.63% ( -0.06) |
| Austria Klagenfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.01) | 24.74% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% ( -0.01) | 59.3% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | Austria Klagenfurt |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.95% |
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