SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Hartberg win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
22.23% ( 0.03) | 23.22% ( 0.04) | 54.55% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( -0.15) | 45.94% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( -0.14) | 68.25% ( 0.14) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( -0.05) | 34.83% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( -0.05) | 71.57% ( 0.05) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( -0.08) | 16.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.35% ( -0.14) | 46.65% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.23% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.55% |
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