Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for an Austria Klagenfurt win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
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