SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
45.98% ( -0.08) | 22.39% ( -0.03) | 31.62% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.92% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( 0.21) | 34.4% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( 0.24) | 56.32% ( -0.23) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( 0.05) | 15.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( 0.1) | 44.47% ( -0.1) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( 0.16) | 21.96% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( 0.24) | 55.25% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 31.62% |
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