Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
